Oskarshamns AIKvs
Nosaby
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oskarshamns AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oskarshamns AIK 1-2 Nosaby
Original prediction
Oskarshamns AIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.0% | 71.0% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.4% | 15.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 4.59 | 19.7% | 13.6% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Oskarshamns AIK
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
Oskarshamns AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40