Oskarshamns AIKvs
IFK Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oskarshamns AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oskarshamns AIK 3-4 IFK Trelleborg
Original prediction
Oskarshamns AIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.7% | 42.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 22.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.2% | 34.8% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Oskarshamns AIK
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Oskarshamns AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00