Oskarshamns AIKvs
Berga
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oskarshamns AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oskarshamns AIK 1-3 Berga
Original prediction
Oskarshamns AIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.3% | 59.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 22.1% | 18.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.6% | 22.5% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Oskarshamns AIK
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Oskarshamns AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60