GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 6/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Smorgon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Osipovichy are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Smorgon are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Smorgon hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the 1. Division, while Smorgon holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Smorgon

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

11.9%

Smorgon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OsipovichyLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SmorgonDLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OsipovichySmorgon
37.0Attack37.0
7.4Defence46.3
18.5Form31.5
24.2Power39.4
1.24xG1.80
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