GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/17/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muras United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

OshMU Aldier are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Muras United are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Muras United

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OshMU AldierWLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Muras UnitedLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
OshMU AldierMuras United
47.4Attack68.5
40.4Defence70.4
40.4Form72.2
44.0Power70.5
0.84xG2.42
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