Osasunavs
Racing Santander
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Santander · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander
Original prediction
Racing Santander
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 47.6% | 37.3% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.9% | 22.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 26.4% | 40.3% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Racing Santander
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Racing Santander has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60