Osasuna IIvs
Olot
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osasuna II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Osasuna II 0-0 Olot
Original prediction
Osasuna II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.0% | 45.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.9% | 27.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.1% | 27.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Osasuna II
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Osasuna II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20