Osasuna IIvs
Ebro
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osasuna II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Osasuna II 1-0 Ebro
Original prediction
Osasuna II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.2% | 43.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.8% | 27.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.0% | 28.7% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Osasuna II
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Osasuna II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40