Osasuna IIvs
Arnedo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osasuna II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Osasuna II 4-1 Arnedo
Original prediction
Osasuna II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 59.8% | 49.3% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.4% | 26.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.29 | 16.8% | 24.3% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Osasuna II
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Osasuna II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00