Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Osaka 2-1 Ehime FC
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.3% | 29.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 26.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.8% | 43.2% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OsakaDWDLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ehime FCWWWLD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OsakaEhime FC
46.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
46.7Form86.7
55.4Power83.5
1.11xG1.50