Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Os · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
7%
LowconfidenceOs are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Stord are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and os hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 3. Division - Girone 3, favouring Os with 7.1% confidence, a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Os
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
7.1%
Os has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OsWDLDL
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StordDLLLW
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OsStord
100.0Attack61.5
33.3Defence41.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power51.9
2.81xG1.97