Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Os · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Os 2-0 Førde
Original prediction
Os
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 72.9% | 45.6% | -27.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.30 | 14.3% | 22.4% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 7.02 | 12.8% | 32.0% | 19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Os
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Os has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OsWWWLL
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FørdeDWWLW
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OsFørde
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power89.8
2.26xG2.37