Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Os · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Os are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Fana are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fana hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the 3. Division - Girone 1, while Os holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Os
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Os has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00