Os Limianosvs
Rebordosa
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Os Limianos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Os Limianos 1-1 Rebordosa
Original prediction
Os Limianos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.5% | 43.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.3% | 28.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.3% | 27.7% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Os Limianos
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Os Limianos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20