Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Çorum FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Çorum FK 2-1 Rizespor
Original prediction
Çorum FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 01:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 48.0% | 52.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.6% | 23.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.4% | 24.0% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Çorum FK
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Çorum FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Çorum FKWLWWL
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
RizesporLWDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Çorum FKRizespor
76.2Attack33.3
42.9Defence57.1
47.6Form47.6
53.5Power48.3
1.98xG1.13