Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Çorum FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Çorum FK 3-0 Eyüpspor
Original prediction
Çorum FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 55.1% | 39.1% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.4% | 27.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 19.5% | 33.9% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Çorum FK
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Çorum FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Çorum FKLLDWW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EyüpsporWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Çorum FKEyüpspor
44.4Attack22.2
0.0Defence66.7
11.1Form33.3
22.2Power43.7
1.26xG1.41