Çorum FKvs
Alanyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Çorum FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Çorum FK 1-2 Alanyaspor
Original prediction
Çorum FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.3% | 42.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.6% | 25.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 27.1% | 31.8% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Çorum FK
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Çorum FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00