Orsomarsovs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orsomarso 0-0 Real Cartagena, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orsomarso 0-1 Real Cartagena
Original prediction
Real Cartagena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.3% | 27.2% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.8% | 30.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.0% | 42.1% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Orsomarso 0–0 Real Cartagena
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40