Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orsomarso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orsomarso 0-0 Depor FC, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orsomarso 0-2 Depor FC
Original prediction
Orsomarso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 42.2% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 31.7% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.4% | 26.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Projected Score
Orsomarso 0–0 Depor FC
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Orsomarso
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Orsomarso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrsomarsoLLWDD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Depor FCWWWLD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OrsomarsoDepor FC
27.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence51.5
39.7Form30.3
46.4Power40.7
0.86xG0.60