Primera BPrimera B
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Orsomarso

Orsomarso

Home
DL
10
Full time
Barranquilla

Barranquilla

Away
L
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Orsomarso(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Orsomarso
39%
Draw
28%
Barranquilla
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Orsomarso
18
Barranquilla
9
Defence
Orsomarso
46
Barranquilla
66
Momentum
Orsomarso
17
Barranquilla
0
Danger (xG)
Orsomarso
0.45
Barranquilla
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Orsomarso)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Barranquilla)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Orsomarso)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Barranquilla)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OrsomarsoOrsomarso
DL
BarranquillaBarranquilla
L

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Orsomarso39%
Draw28%
Barranquilla33%

Orsomarso leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Orsomarso head into this in Primera B fixture at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata in mixed form (DL), while Barranquilla arrive in mixed form (L). Orsomarso have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Barranquilla over 1 games.

The model rates Orsomarso's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Barranquilla defence, and Barranquilla's attack at 9/100 against a 46/100 Orsomarso backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Orsomarso have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Barranquilla have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Orsomarso and Barranquilla in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Orsomarso to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Orsomarso 3880%, Draw 2800%, Barranquilla 3320%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Orsomarso

Orsomarso

D
vs Independiente Medellin
16 May 2026
11
L
@ Leones FC
12 May 2026
02
Barranquilla

Barranquilla

L
@ Bogota FC
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Orsomarso vs Barranquilla?

GoalVio's model predicts Orsomarso to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Barranquilla?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Orsomarso vs Barranquilla?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Orsomarso vs Barranquilla?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more