Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orsha · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orsha are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Uni Minsk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orsha hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the 1. Division, while Orsha holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orsha
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Orsha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40