CoppaCoppa
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Orsha

Orsha

Home
DW
22
Full time
Naftan

Naftan

Away
L
Central City Stadium
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Orsha(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Orsha
51%
Draw
25%
Naftan
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Orsha
73
Naftan
73
Defence
Orsha
66
Naftan
1
Momentum
Orsha
67
Naftan
0
Danger (xG)
Orsha
1.80
Naftan
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Orsha)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Naftan)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Orsha)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Naftan)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OrshaOrsha
DWLL
NaftanNaftan
LLW

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Orsha51%
Draw25%
Naftan24%

Orsha leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Orsha head into this in Coppa fixture at Central City Stadium in mixed form (DW), while Naftan arrive in mixed form (L). Orsha have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Naftan over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Orsha (73/100) and Naftan (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Orsha have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Naftan have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Orsha and Naftan in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Orsha to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Orsha 5116%, Draw 2470%, Naftan 2414%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Orsha

Orsha

D
vs Smorgon
11 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Bumprom
4 Jul 2026
31
L
vs Minsk II
28 Jun 2026
04
L
@ Osipovichy
20 Jun 2026
12
Naftan

Naftan

L
vs Dinamo Brest
3 Jul 2026
24
L
@ ML Vitebsk
27 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Baranovichi
19 Jun 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Orsha vs Naftan?

GoalVio's model predicts Orsha to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Orsha vs Naftan?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Orsha vs Naftan?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Orsha vs Naftan?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more