Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lida · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orsha are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lida are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lida hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the 1. Division, while Lida holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lida
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
10.3%
Lida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60