Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orsha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
10%
LowconfidenceOrsha are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while BATE II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and orsha hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 1. Division, favouring Orsha with 9.8% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orsha
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
9.8%
Orsha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrshaLWWLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BATE IILLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OrshaBATE II
41.2Attack40.7
41.2Defence20.4
41.2Form20.4
43.6Power30.4
2.23xG1.27