Orleansvs
Versailles
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/12/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orleans · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orleans 0-4 Versailles
Original prediction
Orleans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.5% | 48.8% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 25.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.2% | 25.3% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Orleans
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Orleans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrleansDLWLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VersaillesLLWWL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
OrleansVersailles
40.0Attack40.0
73.3Defence26.7
46.7Form40.0
54.3Power39.1
1.68xG0.81