Orleansvs
La Roche VF
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orleans · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orleans 0-1 La Roche VF
Original prediction
Orleans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.6% | 40.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 28.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.9% | 30.9% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Orleans
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Orleans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrleansWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
La Roche VFDWWDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
OrleansLa Roche VF
55.6Attack55.6
77.8Defence66.7
66.7Form77.8
67.2Power70.7
1.27xG1.04