Orleansvs
Chasselay MDA
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orleans · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orleans are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chasselay MDA are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Orleans hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Ligue 3, while Orleans holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orleans
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Orleans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50