Orlando Pride Wvs
Utah Royals W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pride W 1-2 Utah Royals W
Original prediction
Utah Royals W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 31.2% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.1% | 28.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.5% | 40.2% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Utah Royals W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00