Orlando Pride Wvs
San Diego Wave W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pride W 1-2 San Diego Wave W
Original prediction
San Diego Wave W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 27.6% | 26.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 25.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.9% | 48.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80