Orlando Pride Wvs
Portland Thorns W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pride W 1-4 Portland Thorns W
Original prediction
Portland Thorns W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.3% | 35.2% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.1% | 28.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.5% | 36.4% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00