Orlando Pride Wvs
Houston Dash W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/7/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pride W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pride W 3-1 Houston Dash W
Original prediction
Orlando Pride W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.7% | 38.5% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 29.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.4% | 32.3% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pride W
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Orlando Pride W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00