GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando Pride W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Orlando Pride W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bay FC W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando Pride W hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the NWSL Women, while Orlando Pride W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando Pride W

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

14.5%

Orlando Pride W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando Pride WWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bay FC WLLDDW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Orlando Pride WBay FC W
40.4Attack35.1
49.1Defence52.6
40.4Form33.3
44.7Power42.1
1.24xG0.97
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