Orlando Piratesvs
TS Galaxy
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 10/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orlando Pirates 1-0 TS Galaxy, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pirates 3-0 TS Galaxy
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.7% | 67.8% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.62 | 16.2% | 20.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 15.06 | 6.1% | 11.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Orlando Pirates 1–0 TS Galaxy
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80