GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/3/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando Pirates · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orlando Pirates are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Supersport United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando Pirates hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the 8 Cup, while Orlando Pirates holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando Pirates

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando PiratesLDWDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Supersport UnitedWWDWD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Orlando PiratesSupersport United
58.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence66.7
58.3Form0.0
64.2Power23.7
1.87xG0.95
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