Orlando Piratesvs
Sekhukhune United
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pirates 3-0 Sekhukhune United
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.6% | 50.7% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.6% | 25.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 7.72 | 11.8% | 23.9% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60