GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando Pirates · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orlando Pirates are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sekhukhune United are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sekhukhune United hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the 8 Cup, while Orlando Pirates holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando Pirates

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando PiratesWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sekhukhune UnitedWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Orlando PiratesSekhukhune United
58.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence0.0
58.3Form100.0
64.2Power72.0
1.75xG1.25
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