GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 10/7/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando Pirates · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orlando Pirates are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mamelodi Sundowns are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the 8 Cup, while Orlando Pirates holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando Pirates

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando PiratesLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mamelodi SundownsWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Orlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
58.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence33.3
58.3Form100.0
64.2Power80.3
1.67xG1.27
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