Orlando Piratesvs
Mamelodi Sundowns
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 8 Cup · 10/7/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orlando Pirates are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mamelodi Sundowns are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the 8 Cup, while Orlando Pirates holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60