Orlando Piratesvs
Durban City
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orlando Pirates 1-0 Durban City, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pirates 2-0 Durban City
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.5% | 55.9% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.7% | 27.0% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 9.33 | 9.7% | 17.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
Orlando Pirates 1–0 Durban City
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 0 · avg 2.60/0.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60