Orlando Piratesvs
African Stars
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Champions League · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Orlando Pirates 1-0 African Stars, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando Pirates 4-0 African Stars
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.6% | 54.5% | -26.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.25 | 14.6% | 25.5% | 10.9 pts |
| Away | 18.87 | 4.8% | 20.0% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.1 pts
Projected Score
Orlando Pirates 1–0 African Stars
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20