Orlando City SCvs
Toronto FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC
Original prediction
Orlando City SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.8% | 39.4% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 23.4% | 26.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.8% | 34.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Orlando City SC
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00