Orlando City SCvs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City SC 1-0 San Diego
Original prediction
San Diego
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 43.4% | 28.7% | -14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.8% | 18.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.8% | 52.7% | 19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20