GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Orlando City SC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando City SC

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
New York Red BullsWWWWW

GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
55.6Attack53.7
13.0Defence27.8
37.0Form46.3
36.6Power45.0
2.54xG2.52
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