GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

9.0%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoLLLWL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orlando City SCHouston Dynamo
55.6Attack50.0
13.0Defence55.6
37.0Form59.3
36.6Power56.2
1.51xG2.42
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