GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/22/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orlando City SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando City SC hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Leagues Cup, while Orlando City SC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando City SC

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Orlando City SCHouston Dynamo
55.6Attack33.3
44.4Defence58.3
44.4Form25.0
51.1Power42.1
1.63xG1.21
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