GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/5/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Orlando City SC are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
FC CincinnatiWLWLW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
55.6Attack83.3
13.0Defence18.5
37.0Form48.1
36.6Power50.9
2.83xG3.93
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