Orlando City SCvs
Chicago Fire
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Orlando City SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
8.2%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60