GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

8.2%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CharlotteWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City SCCharlotte
55.6Attack53.7
13.0Defence50.0
37.0Form46.3
36.6Power50.6
1.74xG2.55
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