GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Orlando City SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.6 against 37.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Orlando City SC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando City SC

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

7.5%

Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CF MontrealWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City SCCF Montreal
55.6Attack44.4
13.0Defence35.2
37.0Form29.6
36.6Power37.8
2.34xG2.03
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