Orlando City IIvs
Toronto II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City II 3-1 Toronto II
Original prediction
Orlando City II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 43.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 23.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.9% | 32.5% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Orlando City II
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Orlando City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00