GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Orlando City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Carolina Core are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando City II hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Orlando City II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando City II

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

8.8%

Orlando City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City IILDWWL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Carolina CoreLDDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Orlando City IICarolina Core
63.6Attack46.4
37.9Defence42.0
47.0Form33.3
51.1Power42.0
2.50xG1.57
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